Create and release your Profile on Zintellect – Postdoctoral applicants must create an account and complete a profile in the on-line application system. Please note: your resume/CV may not exceed 2 pages.
Complete your application – Enter the rest of the information required for the IC Postdoc Program Research Opportunity. The application itself contains detailed instructions for each one of these components: availability, citizenship, transcripts, dissertation abstract, publication and presentation plan, and information about your Research Advisor co-applicant.
Additional information about the IC Postdoctoral Research Fellowship Program is available on the program website located at: https://orise.orau.gov/icpostdoc/index.html.
If you have questions, send an email to ICPostdoc@orau.org. Please include the reference code for this opportunity in your email.
Research Topic Description, including Problem Statement:
If two parties agree who would win a fight between them, neither party starts a fight. If, however, there is uncertainty or disagreement on who would win a fight, a fight might start. Preventing war, then, often relies on deterrence, by one party credibly illustrating its relative strength superiority. However, sometimes the way to win a fight is to use a resource or technique that the adversary has never seen before. It is exactly because the adversary has little knowledge of the resource that makes it strong; advertising it would erode its strength. This prevents advertising the resource, which undermines credible illustration of relative strength, which lowers deterrence and increases the probability of a fight. Game theoretical analysis have considered deterrence at length, as well as deterrence under uncertainty, but there has been much less analysis of the strategic ramifications of resources that must remain secret to be strengths.
Relevance to the Intelligence Community:
Governments have capabilities that would be relevant in a war, but publicizing these capabilities before war would make them less effective. Capabilities are kept under wraps, but by doing so, prevents the benefits of deterrence, which increases the probability of a war. Determining general principles of the strategic effects of such capabilities and how to handle them would potentially allow for less brinksmanship and war.
Key Words: Deterrence, Game Theory, Hidden Capabilities, Strategic Interactions, Strategic Stability, Peace Studies, Strategic Surprise, Preventing War, Information Theory, Inference